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Betting markets

Could betting markets really predict the presidential election results better than polling?

Could betting markets really predict the presidential election results better than polling?

While the oddsmakers provide yet another frame for predicting the outcome of presidential elections, there is little evidence they are more accurate than polling and other predictive methods. With the United States’ presidential election less than a month away, there is an increased focus on the polling, much of which
Joseph Lyttleton Oct 11, 2020

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