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According to a United States government draft report obtained by The New York Times, the daily death toll due to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) should reach around 3,000 on June 1. At present, the average daily death toll lies at 1,750 in the US.
The model was revised based on forecasts that would come with “rising mobility in most U.S. states as well as the easing of social distancing measures expected in 31 states by May 11,” and to the human transmission that would naturally occur.
The figures are derived from government modeling that forecasts about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month. Currently, there are 25,000 reported cases per day.
In response, the White House disputed the reports with spokesman Judd Deere saying: “This is not a White House document nor has it been presented to the Coronavirus Task Force or gone through interagency vetting.” Deere also added that the report is not reflective of any models completed or data analyzed by the task force.
The US remains the hardest-hit nation by the deadly virus, with much ambiguity surrounding models and forecasted figures. The report has also been released amid a time when certain states are beginning to ease lockdown regulations and protests are erupting throughout the nation.